Macra//Digest
Housing Starts

Economic Data Today: August Housing Starts Fall 2.6% to 1.275M

Housing starts fell 2.6% in August to a 1,275,000 annual rate while single-family starts rose 7.6% and building permits slipped 2.7%, Census Bureau data show.

2026-09-17 12:30 UTCSep 17, 20262 min read
Housing starts, seasonally adjusted annual rate
Housing starts, seasonally adjusted annual rate. Image: Macra Digest chart (Original chart from public data)
Measure (seasonally adjusted annual rate)August 2026Prior month (rev.)Year earlier
Housing starts1,275,0001,309,000 (-2.6%)1,291,000 (-1.2%)
Single-family starts918,000853,000 (+7.6%)n/a
Building permits1,394,0001,433,000 (-2.7%)1,347,000 (+3.5%)
Completions1,128,0001,280,000 (-11.9%)1,548,000 (-27.1%)

Privately owned housing starts in August 2026 ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,275,000, down 2.6 percent from the revised July estimate of 1,309,000, the Census Bureau said in its New Residential Construction release on September 17. The monthly decline is within the margin of error of plus or minus 12.0 percent, so the agency cannot say starts actually fell.

Starts split by type

Single-family starts rose 7.6 percent to 918,000 from 853,000 in July, while buildings with five or more units were at 344,000. Against August 2025, total starts were down 1.2 percent from 1,291,000. That comparison also falls inside its margin of error, plus or minus 10.8 percent.

Permits and completions

Building permits, a forward-looking measure, came in at 1,394,000, down 2.7 percent from the revised July rate of 1,433,000 and up 3.5 percent from August 2025. Single-family permits were 878,000, down from 894,000 in July. Permits for buildings with five or more units were 467,000.

Completions fell harder. At 1,128,000, they dropped 11.9 percent from July’s revised 1,280,000 and 27.1 percent from August 2025’s 1,548,000. Single-family completions were 816,000, compared with 911,000 in July, and units in buildings with five or more were 302,000.

Why the data matter

Housing starts are a standard line on the economic calendar because they feed residential investment and signal builder confidence. The mix this month is uneven: single-family starts improved, total starts and permits eased, and completions fell. The wide margins argue against reading one month as a trend.

Next on the calendar

The agency’s release schedule lists the September report. The program page notes that some releases also carry initial estimates for a prior month.

Reading the margins

The Census Bureau publishes a 90 percent confidence interval around each monthly change. For August starts, a range of plus or minus 12.0 percent is wider than the reported decline of 2.6 percent, so the true change could be a gain or a loss. Permits and single-family measures carry their own intervals. A reader should weigh the month-to-month moves with those intervals in view and look to revisions, which the agency makes in later releases.

Prepared with AI assistance from public sources and reviewed under our editorial policy. Not investment advice.

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